Anyone who has ever played in a casino will probably have heard the term ‘the house edge’, but far fewer are aware that there is a similar concept where sportsbooks are concerned, namely, the sports betting edge.
When it comes to edge betting, it’s a principle you need to fully understand and that’s exactly what our guide is going to do. We’ll begin by explaining the edge and move on to how to leverage the potential of using it. Lastly, we’ll present you with our own methods for making the most of your sports betting.
What is +EV Sports Betting? A Beginner's Guide To Finding Value Bets
What is +EV Sports Betting? A Beginner's Guide ...
Promoguy Youtube – 19/01/2024
+EV Sports Betting Explained: Hey guys! In this video we run you ...
Promo Guy
2023-06-08 15:16
Arizona you've got a +EV boost on BetFred 🌵 Fair value: +222 EV: +5.5% Recommended units: 0.6 New users bet $50 and get $111 in bonus bets ➡️ https://t.co/EiqK5Y2WkI https://t.co/V5elg6GUXV
Having a clear understanding of how the house edge works in a casino environment will make it much easier for you to grasp how a similar algorithm is applied to sports betting. Many of you might think that casinos make their profit from players’ losing bets. And to some extent, you would be right about that.
However, there’s also a guaranteed profit built into each casino game as well, just as there is in
live betting sites. Let’s take roulette to begin with, since it is probably the most visual example. An American roulette wheel has numbers from one to 36 plus two zeros, so 38 choices in total, theoretically making the odds 38 to one.
However, the payout for winning on a single number is 36 to one, meaning that the house edge is 5.25%. Roulette is just one example; all casino games have a different house edge. Playing blackjack is one of the better options for the bettor; it has a very low house edge to begin with and there is a way to eliminate the edge entirely, but that’s something we’ll be explaining another time.
The sports betting edge
When it comes to sports betting, the built-in profit margin isn’t generally referred to as an ‘edge’. You are more likely to see it described as the ‘vigorish’, ‘vig’, or ‘juice’. But at the end of the day, call it what you will, the betting edge represents the amount of profit the sportsbook will make regardless of the outcome of an event.
So every time you place a bet at a sportsbook, the odds and spreads you’re offered have already been adjusted to make sure the sportsbook makes a profit, regardless of whether you win or lose.
Occasionally, you’ll encounter bets where the adjustment has not been made correctly and the advantage, or betting edge, is in your favor. You can also eliminate the edge in some cases by using a
sportsbook bonus code
if available. We’ll tell you more about that later, but next, we’ll show you an example to get the principle clear in your mind.
Whatever the sport. Whatever the moment. It's Never Ordinary at bet365. That's why if you sign up now you'll get the choice of two great New Customer Offers, the First Bet Safety Net up to $1000 or Bet $5 and Get $200 in Bonus Bets. Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+
A very simple example of the betting edge
We are going to use a single coin toss to explain the betting edge in very simple terms. There are only two outcomes to a coin toss: heads or tails, in other words you have a 50% (even) chance of selecting the right one, which equates to 2.00 in decimal odds.
A sportsbook will reduce the actual odds to build in its edge and you will be offered the bet at 1.98 for either heads or tails to win. With just two bets placed, one on each outcome, the sportsbook has balanced its book and is guaranteed a profit of 2%.
In reality, sports bets are far more complex than this example and many more wagers are placed, which leaves room for an occasional miscalculation by the sportsbook. Edge betting is therefore all about spotting those mistakes and cashing in on them.
Calculating the EV of a bet
Every bet you place has an EV, as you might have seen referenced in our other
Expected Value betting
guides. It’s basically a way of calculating whether the bet will win or lose. However, it goes a little deeper than that, because it doesn’t give a true measurement when it is based on a single bet.
A better definition would be that the EV is a measure of the expected win/lose ratio of bets placed at the same odds and spreads over a period of time. We know that is going to sound a little confusing and vague to you right now, so we’ll explain a little further.
Let’s say you have placed 100 bets over the course of a week at exactly the same odds (the precise odds figure isn’t relevant). So, at the end of the week you now look at the ratio between losing and winning bets.
If the percentage of losing bets is higher, you have a negative Expected Value (-EV), but if you’ve had more wins, then it indicates a positive Expected Value +EV. Obviously, the latter is what all bettors aim for.
For those bettors who rely solely on a mathematically oriented edge betting strategy, the EV has a huge significance. Betting this way requires a substantial bankroll as there is the potential for lengthy periods of showing a -EV before the tables turn in your favor.
Finding the sports betting edge and placing bets
So now you know what you’re looking for, but how do you find it? Well, the most popular sport to bet on is football, no contest. Consequently, some NFL matches will have more bets placed on them during each game than all of the other sports put together.
So, in terms of sports betting, NFL matches also have the biggest range of betting markets available and more in-play betting opportunities than most others. Because there is so much to cover, they also make a prime hunting ground for +EV bettors.
We could show you other examples, but just sticking to that one football match for a minute, there’s no way that you can possibly find, calculate and place your bets fast enough to keep up with the sheer speed at which betting edge football odds and spreads change. That’s where the need for software comes in.
A better alternative
As we have shown you, it is possible to make a profit in the long term by relying solely on placing mathematically calculated bets which exploit the occasional errors made by sportsbooks. It’s all well and good if you’re happy to go that route, but it does not allow for any deviation from the prescribed method and if you’re focusing on trying to work all the details out on your own, it could seriously reduce your enjoyment of the sports themselves.
Edge betting is not the only strategy that requires complete attention to the figures alone. Arbitrage betting is another example, although the methods for placing bets are different from edge betting methods - you can find out more about this by using our
arbitrage finder. There are a lot of useful parts to both strategies and there is a way to use those, together with other sports betting resources, that will give you the best of both worlds.
Whatever the sport. Whatever the moment. It's Never Ordinary at bet365. That's why if you sign up now you'll get the choice of two great New Customer Offers, the First Bet Safety Net up to $1000 or Bet $5 and Get $200 in Bonus Bets. Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+
First off, we will start by reassuring you that we are not about to present you with any ‘system’ that relies on any type of betting that is illegal in the US. We do not indulge in such practices and we highly recommend that you avoid them too.
Our sports betting method relies on signing up with legitimately licensed US
top sportsbook apps. All the sites we cover are highly reputable and well-known sporting brands. We simply show you the best of their bonuses and ongoing sports betting promotions and suggest ways to use them to their best advantage.
How to get started
On our website, you’ll find everything you need to get started right away. You’ll find details relating to all of the different legal US sportsbooks and the US states they currently operate in.
On a daily basis, you’ll need to check out all of the bonuses and
betting deals
for the sportsbooks you’ve signed up with and opt in to any that appeal to you. Now it’s all about tracking down a lucrative bet that will give you the betting edge. For this part you could use software, or search manually with the help of an odds/spreads comparison tool.
You’ll see that this method of sports betting includes many different things. Making the best use of the resources that are already out there, harnessing the best parts of various betting strategies and allowing for a level of individual choice in your betting.
Using those tools to bet wisely will enable you to make a moderate profit as you go. Most of all, it won’t need to diminish your reasons for betting in the first place: your love of the sports themselves.
The sports betting edge summed up
We’ve covered a lot of ground in this guide and we hope that you’ve found it interesting and enjoyable to read. Regardless of your own betting style, we think it’s important to understand how sports betting works ‘behind the scenes’ and to use that information to your advantage whenever possible.
We hope by now you have a reasonable understanding of what the sports betting edge represents to you as a bettor and the level of commitment required to rely entirely on edge betting alone. We also trust that our take on sports betting has some appeal for you and hope you will give it some thought.
Whatever the sport. Whatever the moment. It's Never Ordinary at bet365. That's why if you sign up now you'll get the choice of two great New Customer Offers, the First Bet Safety Net up to $1000 or Bet $5 and Get $200 in Bonus Bets. Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+
In very simple terms, the sports betting edge is all about how your sportsbook makes a profit, regardless of the outcome of any event. Our guide to the betting edge will explain it all in detail and we’ll even give you some tips on how to place bets using that information. Intrigued? Well head straight over to PromoGuy to get the full picture!
❓Is the betting edge used for arbitrage betting?
At the end of the day, every bet that is placed at a sportsbook has a sports betting edge. That is simply a fact that exists, regardless of the specific betting strategy you are using. It’s a tough subject to get your head around, but here at PromoGuy, we’ve prepared a number of guides to explain it in detail and its relevance to specific strategies like arbitrage betting. They are all yours to read for free, so come on over and take a look.
💰How does the betting edge affect me?
When your sportsbook posts odds and spreads, it has already ensured that it will make a profit regardless of the outcome of the event itself; that is where the term ‘betting edge’ comes in. It therefore has a bearing on every bet that you place. Here at PromoGuy, we’ve developed a unique method of betting that can negate the sports betting edge for a decent percentage of bets. Head over and see how we do it.
Whatever the sport. Whatever the moment. It's Never Ordinary at bet365. That's why if you sign up now you'll get the choice of two great New Customer Offers, the First Bet Safety Net up to $1000 or Bet $5 and Get $200 in Bonus Bets. Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+
21+ and present in VA. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
This site is using
Cloudflare
and adheres to the
Google Safe Browsing Program. We adapted
Google's Privacy Guidelines
to keep your data safe at all times.
