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What is a Guaranteed Winning Bet?

Bet Without Losing - How to Guarantee a Sure Win

Are you serious about finding the best sports betting guaranteed win opportunities? If so, you're in good hands. What we share with you in this guide, the bookies don't want you to hear!

We don't hold anything back here, and you'll only find expert advice based on facts. With the right betting strategy, there are a few ways to gain an edge and beat the sportsbooks. Don't go anywhere, because on this page we discuss the top strategies that can actually work to guarantee a winning bet.

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Video: What is +EV Sports Betting? A Beginner's Guide To Finding Value Bets

What is +EV Sports Betting? A Beginner's Guide To Finding Value Bets

What is +EV Sports Betting? A Beginner's Guide ...
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The best guaranteed win betting strategies – tested by experts

If it were easy to beat the sportsbook and have guaranteed bets to win, everyone would do it! It can certainly be a difficult task in the short term and long term. Nevertheless, many pro sports bettors make a living by following betting sure-win strategies. But how is it possible to start sports betting with guaranteed wins?

  1. Arbitrage betting: This strategy involves placing multiple bets on all possible sporting event outcomes to guarantee a profit.
  2. EV betting: EV (Expected Value) betting involves calculating the potential value of a bet based on statistical probabilities to make long-term profits.
  3. Matched betting: This strategy takes advantage of free bets offered by sportsbooks to guarantee a profit regardless of the outcome of a sporting event.

These three sports betting guaranteed win strategies are based on sound mathematical principles and probability. They can also help you make the most of sportsbook promo codes.

All three strategies you're about to hear have been tried and tested by our experts and work in theory and practice.

Arbitrage betting - guaranteed win strategy

Arbitrage betting is also known as “arbing” or “sure bets”. This is a popular sports betting sure win strategy that's very much the same as matched betting (more on this later). An arbitrage betting opportunity is made available when the overall odds on a game are at a point where you are able to guarantee yourself a win regardless of the outcome.

Arbitrage sports betting is otherwise known as “arbing”, this is sports betting 101. This betting strategy involves placing numerous bets on all of the different outcomes of a sporting event with the purpose of guaranteeing a profit.

In most cases, you place an arb on the soft sportsbooks on one side, and on the other side, you bet on the exchanges or sharps to complete an arbitrage. Arbitrage betting on sports is a strategy where you place simultaneous bets on all possible outcomes of a particular game or sporting event.

How to be successful with your arbitrage betting strategy

To be successful and make money betting on sports, you must ensure that the different odds and spreads on the outcomes can guarantee a profit, regardless of the outcome. You can discover arbitrage betting opportunities by identifying discrepancies between odds and spreads.

Usually, you place a binary bet – with just two potential outcomes. For example, you bet on a tennis match where only two final outcomes are achievable.

When sportsbooks disagree on odds and spreads or make a mistake while pricing a particular market, you can capitalize on arbitrage betting opportunities.

It will only work when the online sportsbook has listed the greater odds and spreads on their website than the current market price. When we say “market price,” we mean the value of the odds and spreads listed on betting exchanges. For sportsbooks to make a consistent profit from bettors, they rely on delivering odds and spreads under the market price.

The terminology used to describe this is the “sportsbooks overround”. Instead of following traditional betting strategies, you need to follow the rules of arbitrage betting to have mathematical probability and guarantee a profit.

Pros of arbitrage betting

  • The work required to succeed can be worth the returns
  • A successful arbitrage bet guarantees a win with no risk

Cons of arbitrage betting

  • Prices are subject to change without notice
  • Bettors seeking large payouts need to bet large sums because of slight margins
  • Sportsbooks reserve the right to cancel bets when they realize that there is a discrepancy in the pricing of odds
  • You will need to have accounts at several sportsbooks
  • A lot of research and planning is required

Arbitrage Betting Example

Arbitrage betting involves taking advantage of the variation in odds offered by different bookmakers to guarantee a profit regardless of the outcome of a sporting event. Here's an example to illustrate how it works:

Let's say a soccer match between Team A and Team B. Bookmaker 1 offers odds of 2.0 for Team A to win, while Bookmaker 2 offers odds of 2.2 for Team B to win.

To calculate if there's an arbitrage opportunity, we can use the following formula:

1/odds for Team A + 1/odds for Team B < 1

1/2.0 + 1/2.2 = 0.5 + 0.4545 = 0.9545

Since the sum is less than 1, there's an opportunity for arbitrage. We need to calculate the specific amounts to bet on each outcome to guarantee a profit. Let's say we have $1000 to bet.

We would place:

  • $X on Team A at odds of 2.0
  • $Y on Team B at odds of 2.2

To ensure a profit regardless of the outcome, we would solve for X and Y so that:

  • X * 2.0 = Y * 2.2
  • X + Y = $1000

We can determine the exact amounts to bet to secure a profit by solving these equations. Keep in mind that arbitrage opportunities are rare and may require quick action due to changing odds. Additionally, it's important to be aware of the terms and conditions set by bookmakers regarding arbitrage betting.

Matched betting guaranteed win strategy

The idea behind the strategy of matched betting is to make arbitrage bets using different bonus offers available at the sportsbooks on one side. And on the other side, make an arb bet on a sharp exchange or sportsbook.

The soft sportsbooks normally change their odds and spreads slower than sharp sportsbooks. Also, you're more likely to find attractive odds at soft sportsbooks.

When sharp sportsbooks adjust odds and spreads, it can take between a matter of minutes and several hours for the change to come into effect.

These windows of time can present great matched betting opportunities. While matched betting can be the least risky strategy for guaranteeing a winning bet, it gives you the lowest payouts on average. Basically, matched betting is a form of arbing. If you’re unsure which provider to get started with, we’ve also covered sportsbook ratings.

Pros of matched betting

  1. In theory, matched betting is risk-free
  2. An ideal strategy for players on a budget
  3. A perfect starting point for beginners looking to build a bankroll
  4. When you've increased your bankroll, you can transition into long-term EV betting strategies

Cons of matched betting

  1. There is a limit on the availability of promotions
  2. Winnings are capped at certain price points
  3. It's possible for sportsbooks to restrict your account after having success with this strategy
  4. Matched betting is easier for sportsbooks to spot when compared to expected value betting
  5. Payouts can be quite insignificant due to them being dependent on the size of the bonus offers
  6. Unavailable for players in the US

Even though matched betting is one of the hottest strategies in the world of sportsbooks right now, matched betting isn't currently available to players in the US. This is due to the laws prohibiting bettors from placing wagers across state lines.

Instead of betting being legal in the US on a federal level, individual states are responsible for their own legislation in relation to sports betting. This is where EV betting comes in as the best winning betting strategy for US bettors.

Tips for Successful Matched Betting

Matched betting is a popular strategy used by individuals to profit from free bet promotions offered by bookmakers, and here are some tips to help you succeed.

  • Start with a good understanding of how matched betting works
  • Use reputable and reliable matched betting services or platforms
  • Keep track of all your bets and profits to stay organized
  • Take advantage of sign-up offers and free bets from bookmakers
  • Stay disciplined and follow a carefully planned betting strategy
  • Be aware of any potential risks and always bet responsibly

Matched Betting Example

Matched betting involves taking advantage of the bonuses and free bets offered by different bookmakers to guarantee a profit regardless of the outcome of a sporting event. Here's an example to illustrate how it works:

Let's say a soccer match between Team A and Team B. Bookmaker 1 offers a free bet of $50 if you place a $50 bet on Team A to win, while Bookmaker 2 offers a $50 bonus if you place a $50 bet on Team B to win.

To calculate if there's a matched betting opportunity, we can compare the offers and determine if we can cover all outcomes to secure a profit.

Since the offers from both bookmakers can cover all possible outcomes, we can utilize both offers to guarantee a profit. We can place the qualifying bets with Bookmaker 1 and Bookmaker 2, and then use the free bet and bonus to cover the other outcome.

Additionally, it's essential to keep track of our bets and ensure that we follow the matched betting process correctly to secure the profit.

EV betting guaranteed win strategy

Most betting experts are big on EV betting. We'll explain why EV betting can be far superior to arbitrage and matched betting further down this page. It’s certainly worth tracking a sports betting expert prediction.

But first, to explain it simply, you're betting on only one side of an arbitrage bet. Positive expected value (+EV) is one of the best betting guaranteed win strategies for long-term returns. Like arbitrage, the process involves identifying odds and spreads that are “mispriced” or over the market price. When you use the EV betting strategy, payout profit margins are bigger than arbitrage betting.

However, you will have to understand that this strategy involves variance. You need to accept that there are going to be some good days and some bad days. But in the long run, you have sound mathematical probability.

When you understand the rules of large numbers and the mathematical probability behind +EV betting, you'll realize that it's possible to gain an edge over the sportsbook and get a betting guaranteed win over time.

Essentially, you are using probability to guarantee that you only bet on odds and spreads that give you the mathematical advantage over the sportsbooks.

Pros of expected value betting:

  • You can find EV betting opportunities more frequently than arbitrage betting opportunities
  • Enjoy a higher ROI % compared to arbitrage
  • Ideal for bettors with a long-term approach
  • Sportsbooks struggle to spot bettors who capitalize on this betting sure win strategy

Cons of expected value betting:

  • High variance
  • Not suitable for bettors seeking short-term gains

Tips for Successful Expected Value Betting

When it comes to expected value betting, it's important to consider a few key tips to increase your chances of success:

  • Understand the concept of expected value and how it applies to betting
  • Use statistical analysis and data to make informed betting decisions
  • Practice proper bankroll management to minimize risk and maximize potential returns
  • Research and analyze betting markets to identify value bets
  • Keep emotions in check and stick to a well-defined betting strategy
  • Remember that there are no guaranteed bets to win

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EV Betting Example

EV Betting, also known as Expected Value betting, involves calculating the potential value of a bet based on the probability of a particular outcome. Here's an example to show how it works:

Let's say we have a soccer match between Team A and Team B. Bookmaker 1 offers odds of 2.0 for Team A to win, while Bookmaker 2 offers odds of 2.2 for Team B to win.

To calculate if there's an EV betting opportunity, we can use the following formula:

  • (Probability of winning * odds) - 1

For example, if we believe Team A has a 60% chance of winning, the EV would be:

  • (0.60 * 2.0) - 1 = 0.2

If the calculated EV is positive, it indicates a potential opportunity for a profitable bet.

In EV betting, we would analyze the EV for various betting options and place bets where the calculated EV is positive. This approach aims to maximize long-term profits by making bets with positive expected value.

It's important to note that EV betting requires a deep understanding of probability and odds, and it's essential to make informed decisions based on thorough research and analysis.

Additionally, it's crucial to practice responsible betting and manage bankrolls effectively.

Which betting sure-win strategy is right for you? - Arbitrage and matched betting vs value betting

When you're placing arbitrage and or taking part in matched betting USA, you need to be on your toes and make sure that you act fast when the right opportunity arises. You need to remember that sportsbooks are always changing the odds and spreads, so there's only a small window of time to secure profits.

After all, you only need to have a bet guaranteed once. When you're doing arbitrage betting, you will need to hold numerous betting accounts with different sportsbooks. On the other hand, you only need one account with your chosen sportsbook for EV betting.

At the end of the day, EV betting comes out on top for long-term profits, but it all boils down to your own risk to reward profile on which strategy is right for you. Experts are big supporters of value betting because this strategy gives you the highest potential for long-term gains.

Why EV betting can be superior to arbitrage betting

  • Time can be better spent finding +EV bets than trying to place arbitrage bets
  • You only need one sportsbook account for positive EV betting
  • You are less likely to be hit with any restrictions or account terminations
  • Arbitrage bettors are required to bet on every outcome. By doing this, they're usually giving value back to the sportsbooks
  • Arbitrage betting relies on a successful bet on both sides that is accepted. You can be left holding a bet if one side is not accepted

Conclusion – gain an edge over the sportsbooks!

There are many ways to capitalize on the mistakes made by sportsbooks. And you'd be surprised how often these opportunities arise in the form of mispriced odds and spreads. When you compare the different bet guaranteed win strategies, EV betting should come out on top every time. Arbitrage and matched betting tactics can still be great ways to guarantee a payout.

If you're in it for the long haul, we recommend a combination of discipline, patience, and capitalizing on all the +EV betting opportunities. This way, you won't need a huge bankroll to get started, and you only need to register with one of the top recommended sportsbooks.

EV betting is perfect for those who can see the bigger picture and manage short-term fluctuations. A disciplined approach to EV betting can give you a mathematical advantage and guarantee a payout in the long run.

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Betting guaranteed win FAQ

❓ How can I bet without losing?

To bet without losing, it's important to follow a betting system based on the laws of probability. While no strategy guarantees success, leveraging probability can provide a mathematical advantage over the sportsbook and the sportsbook promotions.

However, it's crucial to remember that all betting strategies carry inherent risks. Sportsbooks actively work against those who gain an edge through such systems. In this guide, we provide comprehensive strategies based on probability, aiming to help you navigate the betting landscape with a more calculated approach.

💰 What is the most profitable strategy for betting?

The most profitable strategy for betting involves leveraging sound mathematical principles and probability to gain an edge over the sportsbooks. At PromoGuy, we're here to help the players who are in it to win it. Are you with us?

By learning the secrets that sportsbooks don't want you to hear and adopting expert insights, you can enhance your betting approach and increase your chances of winning.

✅ How can I guarantee a winning bet at sportsbooks?

It's not easy to gain an edge over the sportsbook, guarantee a winning bet, and how to be able to make money on the side. If it were simple, everyone would be doing it. However, it's not impossible to increase your chances of winning.

The strategies you'll find here are based on mathematics, probability, and large numbers. Betting experts have tried and tested all of them, and they work in both theory and practice. Get ready to uncover the secrets that sportsbooks don't want you to know.

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