Promo Checklist - September 21, 2022
#1 bet of the day: BetMGM One Game Parlay Insurance (MLB)
Join the "Promo Guy Plus" discord where I'll be posting all bets as soon as I submit them. This is THE BEST place on the internet to talk +EV sports betting!
Link here: https://launchpass.com/promoguy-plus/intro
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September 2022 Discord Profit
Up 7 Early Win (Thursday)
This is for Thursday's Steelers game. I'll almost certainly be on Pittsburgh.
Aaron Judge 61% Profit Boost
Depending on which books you trust, this is either decently +EV or negative. Most of the domestic books like it but Pinnacle, even though they're somewhat unreliable for player props, has fair odds much higher than the market. I like to be conservative with HRs so I'm not playing it, but feel free to play it for a unit or so if you want to root for history!
MLB Parlay Profit Boost
I have been demoted to $10 max bets, so I'm going big with this one.
- LAA ML
- ARI ML
- MIN ML
Boosted price: +1616. Fair odds are +1521 so this is just over +5% EV. Optimal bet size is half a unit so mind your bet sizing. I'm in for $10.
MLB SGPx Profit Boost
Another $10 max for me. Note: Each leg must be -300 or longer odds
- CHI/MIA o6.5
- BAL +1.5/DET TT u0.5 1st inning
Boosted price: +280, which is about fair. Slightly +EV, don't go more than half a unit on this. I'm in for $10.
Other targeted promos
Unfortunately, DK seems to be moving to a highly-targeted strategy for promos and profit boosts. I will address the ones that I personally have, but feel free to send me a tweet with something that I missed.
Sign up for DraftKings to get the best current offer: Bet $5 on any sporting event and get $200 in free bets automatically!
MLB Flash Boost (+6% EV)
Aaron Judge or Albert Pujols to hit a HR boosted to +150! I am risking one unit.
FanDuel MLB Flash Boost— Promo Guy (@PromoGuyMI) September 21, 2022
Judge or Pujols HR boosted to +150
FD signup link ($1,000 risk free first bet): https://t.co/Ri6kMdaV1c
You guys use your fancy computers, I’ll work it all out on my whiteboard 😂
TLDR: +136ish fair. I’m in for 1 unit 🛎️ pic.twitter.com/Hppg4JEhTv
Sign up for FanDuel now to get $150 in free bets!
MLB OGP Insurance
Bet $25 on a 4 leg MLB OGP (One Game Parlay) and get a free bet back if ONE leg loses!
- CHC +5.5
- MIA +5.5
- CHC 2nd inning +0.5
- MIA 2nd inning +0.5
CFB Degen Parlay (free bet)
I had a free bet expiring so I put together a CFB parlay. Using a $25 free bet
- Clemson ML
- Baylor ML
- Michigan ML
- Michigan State +3
- Purdue ML
NFL OGP Insurance
Will be back Thursday
NFL 1st TD Insurance
Follow @FirstTD_Dave on Twitter. Will be back Thursday.
Get a $1,000 risk-free bet by clicking the yellow button below and using code "PROMOGUY21" when signing up!
Home Run plays
These are now posted exclusively in the Promo Guy Plus discord (LINK) where odds don't get nuked right away.
- Play of the day: Sam Huff (TEX) +800. Would use free bets on this +650 or higher.
Number 1 Sign-up Offer
Currently my favorite signup offer to recommend my followers - a 100% casino deposit match up to $200 (there is also a risk-free $500 sports bet). I've had multiple friends/family who know nothing about sports redeem this offer and they've ALL made money. No risk at all - just use the PROMOGUY bonus code when signing up! Pretty simple process, but feel free to DM on Twitter with questions.
FREE BET CONVERSION OF THE DAY: N/a
Not a "conversion", but my HR play of the day above is an excellent use of a free bet.
DM for more info on state-specific offers!