Daily Summary - January 30 (NFL Championship Weekend)
All calculations are based on the following numbers. Scale accordingly.
Check out each sportsbook by clicking the link provided! Most of this work is done in my free time after getting home from my day job as a teacher. Revenue from the signup links/codes helps me out a ton!
BetRivers is currently my favorite signup offer to recommend my followers - a 100% deposit match up to $250. I've had multiple friends/family who know nothing about sports redeem this offer and they've ALL made money. No risk at all - just use code PROMOGUY when signing up and 250MATCH when depositing! Pretty simple process, but feel free to DM on Twitter with questions.
Risk-Free SGP (My top bet of the day)
Bet $10 on a 3 leg, +400 NFL SGP and get a refund in site credit if you lose!
MY TAKE: An absolute must-bet promo here. FanDuel site credit is as good as cash, so get as risky with this one as you want. My pick is on Twitter
NFL Live Bet and Get
Bet $10 on any live market and get $10 in casino credits! Credits convert at about 100% for blackjack - this is free money!
Keeping an eye on the following boosts (I expect more to pop up throughout the morning/afternoon as well. Turn those Twitter notifications on so you don't miss anything!)
- Ringer NFL Boost: Mahomes 250+ Pass Yards, 25+ Rush Yards, and KC ML (+220)
- PMI Super Boost: Kelce and Chase both to score a TD, Tyreek 50+ Rec. Yards, and Burrow 250+ Pass Yards (+600)
- (Other) PMI Super Boost: Kupp and Deebo both to score and Stafford 250+ Pass Yards (+500)
If you don't have FanDuel yet, check it out by clicking the yellow button below!
NBA SGP Bet and Get (weeklong promo)
This is an absolute must-bet promo from DK!
-Bet $10+ on a (+300 minimum) NBA SGP each day until January 31 and get a $100 free bet! Can't turn down this kind of value. Be smart though - SGPs are very profitable for the sportsbooks. Only bet enough to trigger the bonus.
Daily picks on Twitter for this promo.
CBB Parlay Insurance
Bet up to $25 on a 3 leg (4 legs in some states, check your terms and conditions) CBB parlay and get a free bet back if ONE leg loses!
MY TAKE: Go with heavy favorites for all but one legs of this bet and then a value underdog (I use OddsJam for this). Not as "risk-free" as the FanDuel parlay insurance, but this is great value. My pick is on Twitter @PromoGuyMI!
Joe Burrow TD Passes Boost (+27% EV, another candidate for top bet of the day)
Joe Burrow to throw 2+ TD passes boosted to +100!
MY TAKE: This is an insane boost. Win probability is around 63%, making this a max bet of $50 for bankrolls as low as $200. Easily arb'd / hedged if you're into that, but I'm letting it ride for the full $50.
Ross Tucker AFC QB Boost
Opt in and get a 25% profit boost for both Burrow and Mahomes to throw for 250+ yards! Ends up being -109 or so.
MY TAKE: For this to be worth the $25 max bet, it needs to be around 53.5% likely to hit. Both guys are projected around 290 yards, so I like this one a lot. Must use DK SGP function and select "250+ Passing Yards" for each QB.
AFC Primetime Prop
Bet up to $20 on a first TD scorer and get a free bet back if it loses, but they score at any time!
MY TAKE: Going with Travis Kelce here @ +650. Decent odds for the 1st TD bet, but he's the most likely player in the game to score anytime. This maximizes our chance of getting a refund if the original bet doesn't hit. Great promo!
First person to quote tweet my daily summary post with their favorite promo bet of the day will get $10 via Venmo/PayPal/Cash App! Good luck!
NFC Primetime Prop
Same exact promo as the one above ^
Going with Cooper Kupp here for the same reason. Decent price for the 1st TD bet, but he's -150 to score anytime. Gives us a good chance to get our money back if we lose.
NFL Live Bet and Get
Bet $10 on a live NFL market and get a $10 free bet! No-brainer here.
Risk-Free SGP (x2)
Bet up to $25 on an SGP for both NFL games today and get a free bet back if you lose!
MY TAKE: PLEASE check your terms and conditions here - mine has no leg/odds requirement but some people are reporting 3 leg minimums, +300 odds, etc. Ask support via email if you're not 100% clear.
If you don't have DraftKings yet, check it out by clicking the yellow button below!
Super Boost (MI)
Joe Burrow 250+ Pass yards and 2+ Pass TDs boosted to +110!
MY TAKE: Burrow is ~63% likely to throw for 2 TDs, so we would need 250+ pass yards to be 75% likely. With his projected total around 290, I like these odds. Putting the max of $25 on it.
Total Champions promo
Bet $25+ on the over/under of BOTH games today and get a $25 free bet if you win both.
MY TAKE: Actually a kinda lame promo. Passing on this.
If you don't have Caesars yet (besides PA/NJ residents), check it out by clicking the yellow link below and using code "PROMOGUY" when signing up!
First TD Insurance (another candidate for top bet of the day)
Bet up to $25 on a 1st TD scorer and get a free bet back if it loses!
MY TAKE: Probably my favorite promo of the year on BetMGM. First TD Dave will be back with a video for us, detailing the value picks and giving us a player for each game today. Stay tuned on Twitter!
CLICK HERE for today's picks from "First TD Dave"
Australian Open Profit Boost
Get a 20% Profit Boost token to use on any Australian Open bet! Max wager: $100
Note: This works on ANY tennis bet! If you missed the final between Nadal and Medvedev, you can still use it today. FYI
*Targeted* Bet $250+ on NFL games today and get the following:
- 3 $100 free bets (NHL, NBA, Tennis)
- $100 casino free play
MY TAKE: Incredible offer if you're targeted. Check your email and/or your inbox within the BetMGM app!
If you don't have BetMGM yet, check it out by clicking the yellow button below and using code "PROMOGUY21" when signing up!
- Big Cat Teaser of the Year: Chiefs ML and 49ers +9.5 boosted to +125! I am limited on Barstool but was able to get $50 on this. Some people reported having a $100 max. I'd be comfortable up to $100 here.
- Live Bet and Get: bet $20 on the AFC Championship (pregame) and get a $20 free bet to use during the game. No brainer here! Signup link on Twitter gets you a $125 free bet as well.
BetRivers/Sugarhouse: $250 deposit match upon signing up. Use affiliate code "PROMOGUY" when signing up and code 250MATCH when depositing
Twinspires: $1,000 risk-free bet + casino welcome offer.
- First TD Insurance: bet up to $50 on a 1st TD scorer and get a free bet back if it loses, but they score anytime! Great offer here.
Follow along on my spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19rSq7CiQVd62F4iEX8ixp0wbSepKqvzjemc7rx8iWSc/edit?usp=sharing