Best Bets - February 7
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All calculations are based on the following numbers. Scale accordingly.
Highest value bet of the day: Caesars Auston Matthews + Toronto ML boosted to +325!
Check out each sportsbook by clicking the link provided! Most of this work is done in my free time after getting home from my day job as a teacher. Revenue from the signup links/codes helps me out a ton!
BetRivers is currently my favorite signup offer to recommend my followers - a 100% deposit match up to $250. I've had multiple friends/family who know nothing about sports redeem this offer and they've ALL made money. No risk at all - just use code PROMOGUY when signing up and 250MATCH when depositing! Pretty simple process, but feel free to DM on Twitter with questions.
NHL Odds Boost (+13.3% EV)
Leafs and Devils both to win boosted to +350! Risking $37 to win $129.50.
MY TAKE: Both games are close to 50/50 (Leafs slightly favored, Devils slight dogs). Optimal bet size: 3.7 units.
Olympics (!) Odds Boost
USA Women's Hockey to win in regulation boosted to +250! Risking $50***** to win $125.
MY TAKE: This has unfortuantely moved away from us - no longer a max bet. Optimal bet size is around 2.8 units now. Go USA!
Watchlist: Kansas ML + o64.5 boosted to +170
MY TAKE: This looks good at first glance, but I dislike it the more I look at it. Kansas scores a ton, but Texas is strong defensively (#9 defensive efficiency) and slow (347th out of 358 D1 teams in tempo). I am waiting on this for now and not expecting to bet it.
Sign up for FanDuel now to get 56-1 odds on either team to win the Super Bowl! Use link below to redeem the welcome offer.
NBA SGP Bet and Get (weeklong promo)
Opt in and bet $15 on an NBA SGP (+300 minimum odds) on 6 of the next 7 days and get a $100 free bet! Promo period ends 2/13.
MY TAKE: Must-bet promo here! We'll be betting this once each day until we've reached the required 6 bets. Picks will be on Twitter.
Super Bowl Flash Boost (6:00-9:00pm daily)
Looks like DK will be offering a different boost each day from 6:00 to 9:00pm. Follow along on Twitter so you don't miss anything!
MY TAKE: Today's pick is Cooper Kupp ATTD boosted to +100. The lowest price I can find is -165 and most books have him around -200. I will be maxing this!
Various other promos
Unfortunately, DK seems to be moving to a highly-targeted promo strategy. Check Twitter for my thoughts on a few of the ones I've seen personally.
Sign up for DraftKings to get the best current offer: bet $5 on either team to win the Super Bowl and get $280 in free bets if they win! Use yellow button below to redeem.
NHL Odds Boost (look under the "Boosts" tab)
Auston Matthews to score a goal AND Toronto to win boosted to +325! Risking $20 cash and a $27 free bet (acquired via First Half Frenzy promo yesterday). Total profit to be made: $152.75.
MY TAKE: This is actually +EV even before accounting for correlation, which is HIGHLY positive. You could probably bet 5 units on this profitably, but I'm playing it a bit safe. I may add another free bet on this one.
Sign up for Caesars to get the best current offer: deposit up to $1,500 and get a free bet equal to your deposit amount! Use code PROMOGUYCZR when signing up.
NBA One Game Parlay Insurance
Bet up to $25 on an NBA One Game Parlay and get a free bet back if one leg loses!
MY TAKE: No odds restricitons on this! A must-bet promo every night. Check Twitter for today's pick.
Lions BoostBulls +8.5 and u227.5 boosted to +320! Risking my personal max of $25.
MY TAKE: Good value on this one but BetMGM limits pretty hard on these boosts. Optimal bet size:
Get a $1,000 risk-free bet by clicking the yellow button below and using code "PROMOGUY21" when signing up!
OddsJam is an awesome website that compiles live odds from every US-based and foreign sportsbook to find +EV spots, middle opportunities, and other valuable time-saving information. Check them out at the following link! oddsjam.com/?via=PromoGuy
- Check all books (mainly DraftKings and Caesars) for assorted casino promos
Follow along on my spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19rSq7CiQVd62F4iEX8ixp0wbSepKqvzjemc7rx8iWSc/edit?usp=sharing
BetRivers/Sugarhouse: $250 deposit match upon signing up. Use affiliate code "PROMOGUY" when signing up and code 250MATCH when depositing.
Twinspires: $1,000 risk-free bet + casino welcome offer.
Firekeepers Blazin' Boosts (MI-only): these have been money lately. See Twitter for any potential plays.