Normally, Tuesday is a slow day for baseball. However, as we move into September there are a slate of games on the docket. That means there are also plenty of great bets to be found.
This article covers the lines we like the most, and explains the logic behind each one. They cover a slew of different games, with each being backed up by explanations and favorable statistics.
Stanton continues to be one of the strongest and best power hitters in baseball. He has a great swing, but also a good eye that allows him to wait for his moment. He’s batting .297 on the season, and finds himself in a strong situation on Tuesday.
The slugger has four home runs over his last eleven games. He’s also 6-for-15 lifetime against Astros pitcher Framber Valdez with a home run. His past success means he sees Framber well and should have no issues unloading on the right pitch.
The Astros lefty does not give up a ton of home runs, but he’s surrendered all-but-one this season to right handed batters. Add on the fact that Houston has a short fence down both lines and there’s a good chance Stanton muscles one out.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .287 on the year, and doing so while getting plenty of RBIs (74) and home runs (21). Those numbers always make him a threat to get someone home, especially in his matchup against Cincinnati today.
The slugger faces off against Nick Lodolo (3.22 ERA). While Lodolo is strong and could well keep runners off base, they have one of the weaker bullpens in the MLB. If the starter leaves or runs into trouble early, it could work greatly in Guerrero Jr.’s favor.
On top of that, he’s batting third in the lineup and Great American Ball Park is the second-best stadium in baseball for right-handed home runs. It also has the 7th-shallowest left field fence in the league. The weather is set to be humid, ranking the third-best for hitting in the league today, giving Guerrero plenty of opportunities to get his RBI.
Jurickson Profar has been a run machine as of late. As a true leadoff batter, he’s recorded 27 in his last 28 games, making today’s contest against the Cubs another chance for him to get on base early and find a way across home plate.
While Cubs starter Shota Imanaga (3.08 ERA) has had a decent year, his ERA is up to 4.29 over his last seven starts. That should give Profar some opportunities to get on. If he does, there are many hitters behind him in the lineup who can knock him home.
Profar also has a .428 wOBA over the last month, which is sixth-highest in the MLB. Imanaga has allowed 1.87 home runs per nine innings since July (sixth-most in baseball) and given up ten long balls in his last seven starts. All Profar needs to do in this one is get on base, and he does that quite well.
We end our daily picks on an interesting line. Three and a half strikeouts is incredibly low for any starting pitcher in today’s MLB, which makes this bet enticing. However, it sits that low because there’s a lot of uncertainty surrounding Severino.
The A’s right-hander has a 4.82 ERA and a low 17.2 percent strikeout rate on the season. Not only that, but today is his first start since going onto the IL on August 5th. That could scare some people off, but it also creates a strong pay out.
When pitching at Sutter Health Park, Severino has a 3.17 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He also had a 2.93 ERA and 26.3 percent strikeout rate in his last five starts before going on IL. That, combined with the fact that the Cardinals have the second-highest strikeout rate against right handers in the MLB, means the righty returns to a good situation.
All lines courtesy of DraftKings and BetMGM.
+250
6.5
-102
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Daily picks from betting experts on odds boosts and casino promos
