After an incredibly slow day for baseball, Friday is packed with action. All thirty teams are suiting up, which provides the opportunity for many interesting bets and exciting lines.
There are many player props to be found throughout the MLB today. Though we don’t like any of the top pitching lines, there are several hitters who could pay out. We break down our favorites to explain the reasoning and statistics behind each one.
When it comes to home run bets, it’s always a good idea to lean on Aaron Judge. The powerful righty has always been a menace at the plate, and he continues to muscle the ball out of the park at an alarming rate. He’s gone deep 43 times on the season and is batting .322.
Tonight he goes into a critical game against Toronto with a lot on the line. That alone should make him more locked in at the plate. On top of that, he faces off against Kevin Gausman (3.75 ERA), who has always struggled against the Yankees slugger.
Judge is 16-for-45 in his lifetime against Gausman, making this a great opportunity for him to get a hold of one. He also has two home runs over his last five games, showing he’s not slowing down, and has hit the long ball off of right-handed pitchers 31 times this season.
Riley Greene may not be the first name to pop up on the home run leaders list, but the Tigers left fielder is having an incredible year. He’s knocked 32 balls out of the park this season, which is a career high, and is also heating up as Detriot speeds towards the postseason.
Greene went deep six times in August, making him a solid threat to hit one out at any time. He’s also 2-for-4 lifetime against Chicago’s Shane Smith. That’s not a huge sample size, but it shows he could easily see a pitch he likes early on.
Smith also has a home run problem. He gave up two long balls during his last outing, and has given up 11 bombs this year to left handed batters. All of that lines up well for Greene, and provides him a solid opportunity to get one out. Even if Smith does hold his own, the White Sox have one of the worst bullpens in baseball. A late home run is not out of the question.
Over 1.5 total bases is not always a concrete pick, but the Phillies slugger finds himself in an extremely favorable position on Friday evening. He’s facing off against Valente Bellozo (3.91), who has struggled mightily against left handed batters this season.
The Marlins’ starter has allowed a .319 average, .203 ISO, and 1.7 home runs per nine innings of work against lefties. His 3.91 ERA has also ballooned to 5.82 over his last seven starts. Those are two aspects Schwarber could easily take advantage of in this game.
Not only does Schwarber have 49 home runs this year, putting him second in the MLB, but he could easily string two hits together. He has enough power to slug the ball into the gap and hits extremely well against cutters, changeups, and fastballs. Those are Bellozo’s three main pitches.
The Athletics might have had a rough season, but they continue to be one of the strongest hitting teams in baseball. Brent Rooker is a big part of that. The slugger is the 15-best hitter in the league and goes into a game against a slumping Angels team where there should be plenty of RBI opportunities to go around.
The right-hander looks to bat third, which always provides opportunities for people on base. He’ll also face Jose Soriano (3.68 ERA), who tends to give up quite a lot of flyballs. That alone means Rooker, who has 27 home runs on the year, could get a hold of a hanging pitch.
Another reason we like this line is the bullpen. While Soriano could give Rooker a chance to knock someone home, Los Angeles has the fourth-worst bullpen in the majors. Even if his first at-bats don’t go as planned, he’ll likely have a chance late.
All bets are courtesy of DraftKings and BetMGM.
+100
1.0
-110
-115
-200
-3.5
-105
-112
-152
-3.0
-102
-112
-592
-10.5
-104
-108
+106
1.5
-110
-110
+154
3.5
-115
-108
-150
-3.0
-102
-105
+950
14.0
-105
-110
+320
7.5
-105
-115
+164
3.5
-110
-110
-218
-4.5
-105
-118
-450
-8.5
-108
-108
-350
-7.5
+100
-112
-1000
-13.5
-105
-115
+102
1.5
-110
-105
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