Tuesday is typically one of the slow days in baseball. Despite that, there are a lot of solid bets to be made today. We have picked the four we like the most in the following article.
Each below section details our favorite player props. They break down, not just why we like the pick, but the analysis and statistics behind each decision.
Pasquantino may have gone 0-4 yesterday, but he has one of the hottest bats in baseball. Especially when it comes to the long ball. He’s hit a home run in six of his last eight games and has knocked one out in 10 of 23 games in the past month.
Though he does face a good pitcher in Martin Perez (2.51 ERA), Pasquantino is seeing the ball so well it’s still worth taking a chance on him. He’s sitting on 28 home runs this season, and the game looks to have favorable conditions. The forecast calls for winds blowing out of right field without any other adversity.
Another important factor is that Pasquantino has a career .867 OPS against Chicago. He tends to do well against the White Sox and is in a situation where he could easily get a hold of one.
Riley Greene is a strong hitter on a strong team. The Tigers’ slugger has had a decent season knocking the ball around so far, and he looks to continue that Tuesday against the A’s. The slugger has a 25.3 percent barrel rate, 47.1 percent fly-ball rate, and a .333 ISO over the past two weeks. He also has 31 home runs and 95 RBIs on the season.
Sutter Health Park is one of the most hitter friendly stadiums in the MLB. That’s then compounded by the fact that he’s going up against Osvaldo Bido. Bido is posting a lackluster 5.37 ERA on the season and gives up quite a few hits.
Greene is exactly the type of hitter to take advantage of a good pitching matchup. He has the ability to go deep if he gets a hanging pitch, but he can also knock one into the outfield. As he’s batting fourth, he should have plenty of opportunities to do just that.
Eight strikeouts is quite a high number, but if you’re looking for a good payout in Tuesday’s action, Dylan Cease might be the one to bring it home. The big righty has recorded more than eight Ks in 38.5 percent of his starts this year. He’s also hit that mark in more than half of his outings since May 7th.
Cease is a strikeout machine against any competition, but he should get a lot of help against the Mariners. Seattle has a 21.9 percent strikeout rate vs. right-handed pitchers. They also strike out an incredible 24.2 percent against righties at home, which is third highest in the majors.
That all bodes well for Cease, who has a 30 percent strikeout rate on the year. T-Mobile Park is quite pitcher friendly, which makes this a solid bet no matter which way you look at it.
The Tigers are a complete team and one of the best squads in baseball. The Athletics are one of the worst. Still, we don’t like Charlie Morton making it six innings in what should be a relatively easy win for the Tigers on the road.
There are several reasons for that decision. First, Morton is not a consistent pitcher. He has a 5.09 ERA on the season and is known to give up a lot of runs. If he gets behind early, he could hit the showers sometime in the first five innings.
Beyond that, the A’s are a great hitting team. They are in the top ten in team average and home runs. They get a lot of RBIs, and should have no issues putting people on base. Add on the fact that it’s set to be a warm game with some wind blowing out of center field and this looks to be one where the Athletics get to the starter.
All lines courtesy of FanDuel and BetMGM.
+100
1.0
-110
-115
-200
-3.5
-105
-112
-152
-3.0
-102
-112
-592
-10.5
-104
-108
+106
1.5
-110
-110
+154
3.5
-115
-108
-150
-3.0
-102
-105
+950
14.0
-105
-110
+320
7.5
-105
-115
+164
3.5
-110
-110
-218
-4.5
-105
-118
-450
-8.5
-108
-108
-350
-7.5
+100
-112
-1000
-13.5
-105
-115
+102
1.5
-110
-105
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